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Super Bowl XLIV Betting

» February 2, 2010

By Nick Bailey

T-minus six days from kickoff in Super Bowl XLIV.

Online sportsbooks currently have the Indianapolis Colts as a 6-point favorite, with the total at 56.5.

That said, the number is a bit shaky at-6 and could come back a little as news of Dwight Freeney's injured ankle is all over the news. Freeney might not be able to play in the big game due to the injury. SPORTSBETTING.com reported a spike in money showing up on the Saints as soon as the Freeney talk hit the wires.

According to ESPN, Freeney "has a torn ligament in his right ankle that will make it difficult for him to play in Super Bowl XLIV."

The Colts, however, are denying the report, stating that Freeney has a low ankle sprain and is questionable.

Regardless of the true nature of the injury, Freeney is doing everything possible to be ready for game time, undergoing hyperbaric chamber treatment and a system called an ARP, which ESPN says affects blood supply to the injured area.

Looking at some betting trends of note:

- In Indy's last nine games overall, they are 7-2 straight up and also a very profitable 7-2 against the spread.

- During that span, they have produced 6 Overs and 3 Unders.

- The Colts are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games against NFC South opponents and are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five against that division.

- The game will be played on the grass turf of Land Shark, er, Sun Life Stadium and while Indianapolis plays indoors on turf at Lucas Oil Stadium, it has fared just fine on the natural stuff, going 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS on grass.

- In the Colts' last 10 games when favored by 6-points or less, they are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS.

The last time the Colts played a February game in Miami was Super Bowl XLI and they defeated the Chicago Bears 29-17 and covered as 7-point underdogs - the two teams combined for 46 points, going Under the Total of 48.

The week is just beginning and so is the build up to Super Bowl XLIV. We'll have more trends, numbers and betting stats with our daily columns heading to the big game.

Be sure to check out SPORTSBETTING.com for their 125% Super Bowl sign-up bonus.

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