» January 19, 2010
By Nick Bailey
It
will be a David vs. Goliath-like battle when the Final 2 from the AFC battle
for the Lamar Hunt Trophy on Sunday.
The
Indianapolis Colts, who are "supposed to be in the AFC title game," will host
the New York Jets, who "weren't even supposed to make the playoffs" and on top
of that, we'll see the tried, tested and true QB Peyton Manning dueling with
the rookie signal-caller Mark Sanchez.
Online
sportsbooks opened Indy as a 7.5 point favorite (a couple books opened Indy
-7 early but it immediately went to 7.5 across the board), and now has moved to
-8. The total is set at 40.5.
The
betting action has leveled off after the initial spike of Colt money early. If
you're thinking about betting on the Jets you might as well wait, as this line
isn't going to come down and could continue to rise a little.
Let's
look at some numbers from this matchup.
Indy
is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games (remember they didn't care about the last
couple of games on their schedule).
Note
that in their most recent eight games vs. teams from the AFC East, the result
has been 6 Overs and 2 Unders.
However,
bettors who played the Colts haven't seen much of a payout in Indy's last 10
games against the Jets, going 3-6-1 ATS.
You
don't have to look too far back to their last meeting.
It
was a controversial game a few weeks ago that resulted in a road win for the
Jets, as they handed Indianapolis its first loss of the regular season (by a
final of 29-15) but many of the Colts starters were on the bench in the second
half of the game.
The
Jets covered as 4-point road 'dogs and the Total went Over 41.
In
their last nine home games in January, the Colts have been a solid 6-3 ATS.
The
Jets have been road warriors in their last 10 away from the Big Apple as they
are 7-3 ATS and are currently on a five-game ATS win streak in that situation.
In
the green and white's last eight games overall, they are a red-hot 7-1 ATS,
including going 2-0 ATS so far in these NFL playoffs.
In
the Jets' last eight games when listed as underdogs of 8-points or less, they
are 7-1 ATS.
Will
Peyton Manning go for the second Super Bowl of his career or will Mark Sanchez
cap his rookie season with a Super Bowl appearance?
We'll
see this weekend.
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